"Weather and Bible Prophecy" by Cliff Harris and Randy Mann
Cliff Harris and Randy Mann promote themselves as climatologists and meteorologists that interpret "weather and Bible prophecy" for the benefit of us all today. They even have a self-published Amazon book published in 2015 on the subject. In the book, the authors claim to have 60 years experience studying the Bible, weather, and climate, and the low price of $1.99, they will share with you this knowledge so you can have a "joyful, peaceful, and successful life on Earth," at least until you're raptured off the Earth before the "tribulation period."
So what can we learn from these scholars in Bible, weather, and climate prophecies? It's hard to say, because it changes pretty frequently. They periodically publish their climate history of global temperatures, now with prophecies through 2040, but it changes on a near-annual basis. Since the wayback machine keeps a record of past versions of their graph, we can look at them and see how they change their temperature history and prophecies as their predictions fail.| 2007 Version |
Above is the first version I've been able to find. Note the overall shape of the graph, which stays mostly the same through time - that is unless they need more space for annotations - then it changes. Also note that the the dates printed on the curve of the graph are pretty fluid. They just move dates and temperatures around to fit the current state of their prophecies. This is especially true since 1850, which is odd, because this is the time frame where we have the best instrumental data. Above, 1998 is 58.3°F and 2007 is 58°F. Since they're not using anomalies but absolute temperatures, this is far too precise. Annual means for GMST as absolute temperatures are accurate to about 1°F, but these numbers appear to be just made up, so let's just roll with it what they have.
| 2008 Version |
In 2008, 1998 is still 58.3°F, and 2007 has disappeared, while "now" is "normal" at 57°F. So they're claiming GMST changed by 1°F in 1 year. Their prophecy adds a hot/dry cycle by 2038 and a much colder world by 2090. Note the caption at the top left says there was a 0.7°F drop in global temperatures from mid-2007 to Jan 2008.
| 2011 Version |
By 2011, we still have 1998 at 58.3°F, 2005 has been added to the graph, but 2007/8 have disappeared, while 2011is warmer than 57°F, meaning that both 2007 and 2008 must be cooler than 2005 and warmer than 57°F, which flatly contradicts the previous two graphs. Consequently the caption had to change. Now, the caption at the top left says there was a 0.9°F drop in global temperatures from late-2007 to Feb 2009, which is strange because the graph shows continuous cooling from 1998 through 2019 which was in the future. In fact, the prophecy part has a cold 2019 (which didn't happen), and it still has a hot/dry cycle in 2038, but the 2090 prophecy is gone.
| 2013 Version |
By 2013, the "now" temperature is even warmer (more distance from the 57°F "normal") meaning that now all of 1998 to 2012 have been made warmer, contradicting the previous graph. That "0.9°F drop in global temperatures" has all been shifted warmer. The prophecy portion still wrongly predicts 2019 would be cold.
| 2015 Amazon Book Version |
By the 2015 prophecy book, the 1998 peak temperature of 58.3°F has disappeared, and it's been replaced by 2014. The curve is the same but the dates have been changed. Now 2014 is the peak temperature at 58.24°F, which oddly is slightly colder than 1998 used to be. The graph still claims a 0.9°F drop in global temperatures from Oct 2007 to 2009, but since peak warmth is now 2014, the graph shows continuous warming following the mid 1990s through 2014, so this graph contradicts itself. The cold 2019 has also disappeared, only to be replaced by a cold 2020s. This of course didn't happen, since 2020, 2023, 2024, and 2025 are the four hottest years on record.
| 2015 Version |
In this version again 2014 has been replaced by 2015, and the same point on the graph not only changed date, it also changed temperature. Now 2015 is 58.72°F. They still haven't removed their caption claiming a 0.9°F drop in global temperatures from Oct 2007 to Feb 2009, despite the fact that it still contradicts their graph. The prophecy still wrongly shows 2020-2021 as colder due to La Nina and sunspots, but at least not all of the 2020s like before.
| 2017 Version |
In 2017, they replaced again 2015 with 2016, as the peak temperature but it's value has been decreased to 58.69°F. The false caption claiming 0.9°F drop in global temperatures from Oct 2007 to Feb 2009 remains. The 2020s are still wrongly prophesied to be colder and attributes this to La Nina and sunspots. Interestingly, the prophecy part also shows the hot/dry cycle in the 2030s (not just 2038) and attributes these to fossil fuel emissions. This may explain why I see so few of these graphs posted on the internet from this version of the graph.
| 2020 Version |
| 2024 Version |
By 2024 even more has changed. They admit that 2023 was the warmest year on record, claiming it was 2.12°F warmer than their arbitrary normal of 57°F. They also edited their fake claim of "major global cooling" from from Oct 2007 to Feb 2009. Now it's just "minor global cooling of 0.2°F in 2008. But they added more captions on the left side of the graph, so to make room for the additional caption, they just lowered the warmth of 1100 B.C. to accommodate the caption. In other words, there's no data whatsoever behind any of this. There's no y-axis scale to the graph. Even the x-axis scale shifts with the curve as peak warming changes from 1998 to 2016.
The prophecy portion makes the 2020s warmer and shows more potential warming in the future due to continued fossil fuel emissions. This is probably why contrarians don't show any version of this graph beyond 2016 or so. The popular versions of the graph were made during the so-called "pause," and it appears Harris & Mann had bought into the contrarian myth that the pause was an indication of a long-term cooling trend. After the warmth of 2016, Harris and Mann began to pivot towards at least a cursory acknowledgement of fossil fuel emissions having an effect on temperature. They now show every year following 2016 as the warmest years of the last 4500 years, though apparently at least partly because they needed room on their graph for another caption.
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