Failed Predictions of Climate Science, Part 1: Wadhams on Summer Sea Ice
A little over a decade ago, a scientists by the name of Peter Wadhams made a bit of a splash in by doing a few interviews in which he predicted that the Arctic would begin experiencing summers free of sea ice ice by around 2018. Perhaps the most popular story featuring his claims was published the Guardian in 2016 (similar article was published in the Guardian in 2012 ), and since it was an interview, it seems highly likely that Wadhams was given the ability to offer qualifications or nuance to his claims. I think the most relevant excerpt from the interview is: The overall trend is a very strong downward one, however. Most people expect this year will see a record low in the Arctic’s summer sea-ice cover. Next year or the year after that, I think it will be free of ice in summer and by that I mean the central Arctic will be ice-free. You will be able to cross over the north pole by ship. There will still be about a million square kilometres of ice in the Arctic in summer but it w...