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Evaluating Voortman et al 2025 on Sea Level Rise

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A paper was published recently that appears to be making a splash among contrarian influencers. Superficially, it appears to be a study that shows that 95% of tide gauges do not show any statistically significant acceleration, and the remaining 5% have non-climatic explanations for their observed acceleration: Approximately 95% of the suitable locations show no statistically significant acceleration of the rate of sea level rise. The investigation suggests that local, non-climatic phenomena are a plausible cause of the accelerated sea level rise observed at the remaining 5% of the suitable locations. On average, the rate of rise projected by the IPCC is biased upward with approximately 2 mm per year in comparison with the observed rate.[1] To evaluate this, it's important to look at what this paper actually does. The study evaluated a subset of two datasets, PSMSL and GLOSS. There are 1548 locations in the PSMSL network, and this study evaluated 204 of them, stating these were the ...